Talk:Hurricane Vince on track for Europe

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Europe's a big place. Could we be a bit more specific - ie. "Hurricane heads for south-west Europe" or "Hurricane heads for Portugal"? 23:10, 9 October 2005 (UTC)Reply

It depends what you mean by Europe. Look on a globe and you'll see that the countries of the European Union form a pretty tiny blob compared to most of the Earth. If you include the region all the way to the Urals, then it's no longer quite so small. And Portugal is a pretty small place for a hurricane to hide in (especially in the west-east direction). south-west Europe or the Iberian Peninsula would probably be OK. But then again, it seems that hurricane experts thought that this hurricane should not be heading eastwards anyway (warning: i'm just reading from the article - i haven't cross-checked this at all, and have no background knowledge!) - can they really be confident regarding how much of Europe it will travel through? Boud 01:22, 10 October 2005 (UTC)Reply

This discussion might out-last the hurricane. I agree that "on track" wrongly implies the forcast is certain, and think that "for Europe" is not very specific. I'd know general area immediately if the headline mentioned "The Iberian Peninsula" -- however, I am an exceptional geography student and your own nautical mileage may vary. Vague headlines are somewhat annoying 10:37, 10 October 2005 (UTC)

Vince is now back to tropical storm status, according to the NHC. The latest forecast says Vince is quickly weakening and may become a tropical depression or remnant low within 12 hours, so it is possible it never makes landfall on Portugal. A good map of Vince's projected track by the Navy is located here. Here is a great image of Vince's eye from Weather Underground. If it actually hits Portugal, which the NHC doubts, it will be the first time a tropical cyclone ever hits Europe. It is indeed going "the wrong way." 16:50, 10 October 2005 (UTC)Reply