Wikinews:Modelling Wikinews' growth

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This page is the Wikinews equivalent of Wikipedia:Modelling Wikipedia's growth. It deals with predictions for Wikinews' growth. See also Wikinews:Awareness statistics and the google timeline

Article Count[edit]

I was doing a little work in Excel one night for the Wikinews Awareness stats dealing with our growth rate and an interesting trend emerges if we continue to grow at our current rate (Note this is a bit old. Months refer to 2005):

The chart uses the more realistic figures, the green area of the line uses the actual statistics from Awareness Stats.
  • March - 354 articles - 44.5% growth
  • April - 512 articles - 44.5% growth
  • May - 739 articles - 44.5% growth
  • June - 1068 articles - 44.5% growth
  • July - 1543 articles - 44.5% growth
  • August - 2230 articles - 44.5% growth
  • September - 3222 articles - 44.5% growth
  • November - 4657 articles - 44.5% growth
  • December - 6730 articles - 44.5% growth

Great isn't it! Hard to imagine though, so heres perhaps a more realistic forecast using decreasing % rates.

The chart uses the more realistic figures, the green area of the line uses the actual statistics from Awareness Stats.
  • March - 354 articles - 44.49% growth
  • April - 499 articles - 41% growth
  • May - 684 articles - 37% growth
  • June - 862 articles - 26% growth
  • July - 1009 articles - 17% growth
  • August - 1149 articles - 14% growth
  • September - 1299 articles - 13% growth
  • November - 1454 articles - 12% growth
  • December - 1585 articles - 9% growth

Still not bad either - thats 51 articles a day by December.