Wikinews:Modelling Wikinews' growth

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This page is the Wikinews equivalent of Wikipedia:Modelling Wikipedia's growth. It deals with predictions for Wikinews' growth. See also Wikinews:Awareness statistics and the google timeline

Article Count

I was doing a little work in Excel one night for the Wikinews Awareness stats dealing with our growth rate and an interesting trend emerges if we continue to grow at our current rate (Note this is a bit old. Months refer to 2005):

The chart uses the more realistic figures, the green area of the line uses the actual statistics from Awareness Stats.

March - 354 articles - 44.5% growth
April - 512 articles - 44.5% growth
May - 739 articles - 44.5% growth
June - 1068 articles - 44.5% growth
July - 1543 articles - 44.5% growth
August - 2230 articles - 44.5% growth
September - 3222 articles - 44.5% growth
November - 4657 articles - 44.5% growth
December - 6730 articles - 44.5% growth

Great isn't it! Hard to imagine though, so heres perhaps a more realistic forecast using decreasing % rates.

March - 354 articles - 44.49% growth
April - 499 articles - 41% growth
May - 684 articles - 37% growth
June - 862 articles - 26% growth
July - 1009 articles - 17% growth
August - 1149 articles - 14% growth
September - 1299 articles - 13% growth
November - 1454 articles - 12% growth
December - 1585 articles - 9% growth

Still not bad either - thats 51 articles a day by December.