Mitt Romney wins Iowa Caucus by eight votes over surging Rick Santorum

Note — January 22, 2012

A recount later concluded Santorum had received more votes in the caucus;
see U.S. presidential candidate Newt Gingrich wins South Carolina primary, January 22, 2012.

Thursday, January 5, 2012

Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney won the Republican Party's Iowa Caucus Tuesday by a total of eight votes over former Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania. According to ABC News, a record 123,000 people voted in the caucus with 30,015 for Romney and 30,007 for Santorum. Congressman Ron Paul of Texas finished in third place with 26,219 votes.

The results were a surprise for Santorum, who was as low as four percent in the Iowa American Research Group poll just a few weeks ago. However, analysts say his old-fashioned politicking in every Iowa county accounted for the surge in polling just days before the vote. His socially conservative message was well-received in the highly evangelical state. Santorum later described the situation as a "rather close race" in a speech that touched on his working-class roots.

Romney, whose supporters launched an expensive advertising campaign in Iowa, personally began to extensively campaign in the state just a few weeks ahead of the caucus. In his victory speech, he attacked president Barack Obama, saying "we are here to collect" on a statement the president made in 2009 that he would be a one-term president if the economy did not turn around. Prior to the caucus, Romney had received big name endorsements from such prominent GOP figures as former President George H.W. Bush and 1996 presidential nominee Bob Dole. Yesterday, he won the backing of the Republican Party's 2008 presidential nominee Senator John McCain of Arizona.

Ron Paul, who espouses libertarian views, won a large percentage of those who identify themselves as political independents. In a remark to CNN, he called his third place finish validation that "the message of liberty is appealing to everybody across the board."

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, Texas governor Rick Perry, and Congresswoman Michele Bachmann finished in fourth, fifth, and sixth place, respectively. After the results came in, Gingrich lauded Santorum, but had tough words for Romney, on whose behalf negative campaign advertisements were aired in Iowa against Gingrich. Perry stated that he would "return to Texas to assess the results of tonight's caucus, determine whether there is a path forward for myself in this race", but later said that he would remain in the race and compete in the January 21 South Carolina primary. Bachmann, who won the Ames Straw Poll in August, decided to end her campaign.

The campaigns now brace for the New Hampshire Primary on January 10, in which Romney is favored to win, but is expected to face a challenge from former Utah governor Jon Huntsman, Jr., Paul, Gingrich and the surging Rick Santorum.

Results

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Results by County
Mitt Romney	30,015	25%	Image: JaumeBG. ██ Rick Santorum ██ Mitt Romney ██ Ron Paul ██ Rick Perry
Rick Santorum	30,007	25%
Ron Paul	26,219	21%
Newt Gingrich	16,251	13%
Rick Perry	12,604	10%
Michele Bachmann	6,073	5%
Jon Huntsman, Jr.	745	1%
No Preference	135	0%
Herman Cain^[1]	58	0%
Buddy Roemer	31	0%

↑ Cain dropped out in December

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Sources

"AP Results: Iowa Caucuses" — NPR, January 4, 2012
Samuel J. Best. "Why evangelicals coalesced around Rick Santorum" — CBS News, January 4, 2012
"Romney, Santorum on top as GOP race shifts to New Hampshire" — CNN, January 4, 2012
Monitor Editorial Board. "And the winner in Iowa is ... baby-kissing retail politics" — The Christian Science Monitor, January 4, 2012
Huma Kahn, Emily Friedman, and Shushannah Walshe. "Iowa Caucus Results: Romney Edges Santorum by 8 Votes" — ABC News, January 4, 2012
"GOP caucus results" — The Des Moines Register, January 4, 2012
"Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus Preference" — American Research Group, Inc., January 1, 2012

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